Huracán vs Tigre prediction

Huracán have lost 3 of their last 5, while Tigre have not won in their last 5. Huracán average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Tigre average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Huracán drew 1-1 against Tigre. Our model expects Huracán to score about 1.2 and Tigre about 0.9. Tigre should avoid losing by two goals or more.