Marquense vs CD Guastatoya prediction

Marquense have taken 8 points from their last 5, while CD Guastatoya have taken 5 points from their last 5. Marquense average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while CD Guastatoya average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Marquense won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to CD Guastatoya, with 3.7 goals a game. Our model expects Marquense to score about 1.3 and CD Guastatoya about 1.2. CD Guastatoya should avoid losing by two goals or more.