Kelty Hearts vs Elgin City prediction

Kelty Hearts have lost 3 of their last 5, while Elgin City have won 3 of their last 5. Kelty Hearts average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Elgin City average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Kelty Hearts lost 1-4 against Elgin City. Our model expects Kelty Hearts to score about 1.6 and Elgin City about 1.8. Kelty Hearts should avoid losing by two goals or more.