Spartans vs Annan Athletic prediction

Spartans have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Annan Athletic have not won in their last 5. Spartans average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Annan Athletic average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Spartans won 3, drew 0 and lost 0 to Annan Athletic, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Spartans to score about 1.8 and Annan Athletic about 1.2. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.