Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix prediction

Newcastle Jets have not won in their last 5, while Wellington Phoenix have won 3 of their last 5. Newcastle Jets average 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Wellington Phoenix average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Newcastle Jets won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Wellington Phoenix, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Newcastle Jets to score about 1.7 and Wellington Phoenix about 1.4. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.