Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction

Athletic Club have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Real Sociedad are unbeaten in their last 5. Athletic Club average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Real Sociedad average 1.9 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Athletic Club won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to Real Sociedad, with 1.3 goals a game. Our model expects Athletic Club to score about 1.6 and Real Sociedad about 1.4. Real Sociedad should avoid losing by two goals or more.