Durango vs Atlético Morelia prediction

Durango have won 3 of their last 5, while Atlético Morelia have taken 5 points from their last 5. Durango average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Atlético Morelia average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Durango to score about 1.5 and Atlético Morelia about 1.1. Atlético Morelia should avoid losing by two goals or more.