Piratas vs Tapatío prediction

Piratas have won 3 of their last 5, while Tapatío have lost 4 of their last 5. Piratas average 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, while Tapatío average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects Piratas to score about 2.4 and Tapatío about 1.0. We expect only around 3.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.