Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Groningen have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Sparta Rotterdam have lost 3 of their last 5. Groningen average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Sparta Rotterdam average 1.8 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Groningen won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Sparta Rotterdam, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Groningen to score about 2.1 and Sparta Rotterdam about 1.6. Sparta Rotterdam should avoid losing by two goals or more.