Lausanne-Sport vs FC Thun prediction

Lausanne-Sport have not won in their last 5, while FC Thun have lost 4 of their last 5. Lausanne-Sport average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while FC Thun average 1.8 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Lausanne-Sport won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to FC Thun, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Lausanne-Sport to score about 1.4 and FC Thun about 1.5. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.