Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction

Sassuolo have not won in their last 5, while Fiorentina have lost 3 of their last 5. Sassuolo average 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Fiorentina average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sassuolo won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Fiorentina, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sassuolo to score about 1.8 and Fiorentina about 1.4. Fiorentina should avoid losing by two goals or more.