Sport Huancayo vs Melgar prediction

Sport Huancayo have won 4 of their last 5, while Melgar are unbeaten in their last 5. Sport Huancayo average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Melgar average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Sport Huancayo lost 1-4 against Melgar. Our model expects Sport Huancayo to score about 1.5 and Melgar about 1.5. Sport Huancayo should avoid losing by two goals or more.