VPS vs HJK prediction

VPS have lost 3 of their last 5, while HJK are unbeaten in their last 5. VPS average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while HJK average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings VPS won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to HJK, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects VPS to score about 1.1 and HJK about 1.6. HJK should at least avoid defeat.