Zorya vs Epitsentr prediction

Zorya have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Epitsentr have not won in their last 5. Zorya average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Epitsentr average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Zorya won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Epitsentr, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Zorya to score about 1.4 and Epitsentr about 1.1. Epitsentr should avoid losing by two goals or more.