Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama prediction

Athletico Paranaense have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Vasco da Gama have lost 3 of their last 5. Athletico Paranaense average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Vasco da Gama average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Athletico Paranaense lost 0-1 against Vasco da Gama. Our model expects Athletico Paranaense to score about 1.5 and Vasco da Gama about 1.3. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.