Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction

Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 5, while Grêmio have taken 8 points from their last 5. Flamengo average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Grêmio average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Flamengo won 1-0 against Grêmio. Our model expects Flamengo to score about 1.9 and Grêmio about 0.8. We expect only around 2.7 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.