Ascoli vs Palermo prediction

Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 5, while Palermo are unbeaten in their last 5. Ascoli average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Palermo average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Ascoli to score about 1.5 and Palermo about 1.3. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.