Castellón vs Eibar prediction

Castellón have won 3 of their last 5, while Eibar have taken 5 points from their last 5. Castellón average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Eibar average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Castellón won 2-1 against Eibar. Our model expects Castellón to score about 1.7 and Eibar about 1.0. We expect only around 2.6 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.