Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax prediction

Eindhoven have not won in their last 5, while Jong Ajax have taken 6 points from their last 5. Eindhoven average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Jong Ajax average 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Eindhoven won 2-1 against Jong Ajax. Our model expects Eindhoven to score about 1.8 and Jong Ajax about 1.5. Jong Ajax should avoid losing by two goals or more.