Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction

Toulouse have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Strasbourg have lost 4 of their last 5. Toulouse average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Strasbourg average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Toulouse won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Strasbourg, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Toulouse to score about 1.7 and Strasbourg about 1.3. Strasbourg should avoid losing by two goals or more.