Venezia vs Udinese prediction

Venezia have lost 4 of their last 5, while Udinese have not won in their last 5. Venezia average 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Udinese average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Venezia lost 1-2 against Udinese. Our model expects Venezia to score about 1.4 and Udinese about 1.3. Venezia should avoid losing by two goals or more.