Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Willem II have not won in their last 5, while PEC Zwolle have taken 7 points from their last 5. Willem II average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while PEC Zwolle average 1.1 scored and 2.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Willem II to score about 1.5 and PEC Zwolle about 1.7. Willem II should avoid losing by two goals or more.