Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia prediction

Boca Juniors have won 4 of their last 5, while Defensa y Justicia have won 3 of their last 5. Boca Juniors average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, while Defensa y Justicia average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Boca Juniors won 4-0 against Defensa y Justicia. Our model expects Boca Juniors to score about 1.5 and Defensa y Justicia about 0.9. Defensa y Justicia should avoid losing by two goals or more.