Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets prediction

Perth Glory have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Newcastle Jets have not won in their last 5. Perth Glory average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Newcastle Jets average 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Perth Glory won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Newcastle Jets, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Perth Glory to score about 2.1 and Newcastle Jets about 1.3. Perth Glory should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.