Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory prediction

Adelaide United have lost 4 of their last 5, while Melbourne Victory have not won in their last 5. Adelaide United average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Melbourne Victory average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Adelaide United won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Melbourne Victory, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Adelaide United to score about 1.5 and Melbourne Victory about 1.3. Melbourne Victory should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.