Genoa vs AC Milan prediction

Genoa have won 4 of their last 5, while AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5. Genoa average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while AC Milan average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Genoa won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to AC Milan, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Genoa to score about 1.3 and AC Milan about 1.4. Genoa should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.