Monza vs Atalanta prediction

Monza have lost 4 of their last 5, while Atalanta have not won in their last 5. Monza average 2.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Atalanta average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. Our model expects Monza to score about 2.0 and Atalanta about 1.5. Monza should be hard to beat here.