Gnistan vs VPS prediction

Gnistan have not won in their last 5, while VPS have lost 3 of their last 5. Gnistan average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while VPS average 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Gnistan won 0, drew 3 and lost 1 to VPS, with 1.3 goals a game. Our model expects Gnistan to score about 1.6 and VPS about 1.0. Gnistan should be hard to beat here.