Fluminense vs Santos prediction

Fluminense have lost 3 of their last 5, while Santos have won 3 of their last 5. Fluminense average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Santos average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Fluminense won 3-2 against Santos. Our model expects Fluminense to score about 1.7 and Santos about 1.3. Santos should avoid losing by two goals or more.