Grêmio vs Cruzeiro prediction

Grêmio have not won in their last 5, while Cruzeiro have won 3 of their last 5. Grêmio average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Cruzeiro average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Grêmio won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Cruzeiro, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Grêmio to score about 1.3 and Cruzeiro about 1.3. Cruzeiro should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.