Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej prediction

Al Ahli have won 3 of their last 5, while Al Khaleej are unbeaten in their last 5. Al Ahli average 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Al Khaleej average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Ahli won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Al Khaleej, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Al Ahli to score about 2.0 and Al Khaleej about 0.9. Al Ahli have the edge and should have too much for Al Khaleej.