Atlas vs Club América prediction

Atlas have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Club América have taken 8 points from their last 5. Atlas average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Club América average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Atlas won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Club América, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Atlas to score about 1.5 and Club América about 1.7. Atlas should avoid losing by two goals or more.