Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction

Pachuca have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Cruz Azul have taken 5 points from their last 5. Pachuca average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Cruz Azul average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Pachuca won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Cruz Azul, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Pachuca to score about 1.6 and Cruz Azul about 1.6. We expect only around 3.2 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.