Puebla vs Monterrey prediction

Puebla have not won in their last 5, while Monterrey have taken 8 points from their last 5. Puebla average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Monterrey average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Puebla won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Monterrey, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Puebla to score about 1.3 and Monterrey about 1.1. We expect around 2.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.