Basel vs Grasshoppers prediction

Basel have lost 4 of their last 5, while Grasshoppers have lost 3 of their last 5. Basel average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Grasshoppers average 1.4 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Basel won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Grasshoppers, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Basel to score about 1.8 and Grasshoppers about 1.5. We expect only around 3.3 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.