FC Thun vs Lugano prediction

FC Thun have lost 4 of their last 5, while Lugano are unbeaten in their last 5. FC Thun average 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Lugano average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings FC Thun won 0, drew 0 and lost 3 to Lugano, with 1.0 goals a game. Our model expects FC Thun to score about 1.2 and Lugano about 2.2. FC Thun should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.