Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

Estoril have not won in their last 5, while Moreirense have lost 3 of their last 5. Estoril average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Moreirense average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Estoril won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Moreirense, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Estoril to score about 1.3 and Moreirense about 1.1. We expect around 2.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.