Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction

Sevilla have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Osasuna have lost 3 of their last 5. Sevilla average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Osasuna average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sevilla won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Osasuna, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sevilla to score about 1.8 and Osasuna about 1.2. Osasuna should avoid losing by two goals or more.