Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima prediction

Sporting Cristal have won 4 of their last 5, while Alianza Lima have won 4 of their last 5. Sporting Cristal average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Alianza Lima average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Sporting Cristal drew 1-1 against Alianza Lima. Our model expects Sporting Cristal to score about 1.5 and Alianza Lima about 1.1. Alianza Lima should avoid losing by two goals or more.