Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction

Casa Pia have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Sporting CP have taken 7 points from their last 5. Casa Pia average 0.9 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, while Sporting CP average 2.0 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Casa Pia won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Sporting CP, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Casa Pia to score about 1.0 and Sporting CP about 1.9. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.