Elversberg vs Mainz 05 prediction

Elversberg have lost 3 of their last 5, while Mainz 05 have lost 3 of their last 5. Elversberg average 3.0 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Mainz 05 average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Elversberg to score about 1.6 and Mainz 05 about 2.0. Elversberg should avoid losing by two goals or more.