Grazer AK vs Hartberg prediction

Grazer AK have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Hartberg have taken 8 points from their last 5. Grazer AK average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Hartberg average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Grazer AK won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Hartberg, with 0.5 goals a game. Our model expects Grazer AK to score about 1.6 and Hartberg about 1.3. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.