Newport County vs Chesterfield prediction

Newport County have taken 6 points from their last 5, while Chesterfield have taken 8 points from their last 5. Newport County average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Chesterfield average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Newport County won 2-1 against Chesterfield. Our model expects Newport County to score about 1.5 and Chesterfield about 1.2. Chesterfield should avoid losing by two goals or more.