Alajuelense vs Sporting San José prediction

Alajuelense are unbeaten in their last 5, while Sporting San José have won 3 of their last 5. Alajuelense average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Sporting San José average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Alajuelense won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Sporting San José, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Alajuelense to score about 1.8 and Sporting San José about 1.2. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.