Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC prediction

Saprissa have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Puntarenas FC have taken 7 points from their last 5. Saprissa average 2.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Puntarenas FC average 1.6 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Saprissa won 2, drew 1 and lost 0 to Puntarenas FC, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Saprissa to score about 1.8 and Puntarenas FC about 0.9. Saprissa should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.