Barcelona vs LDU Quito prediction

Barcelona have taken 5 points from their last 5, while LDU Quito have taken 7 points from their last 5. Barcelona average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while LDU Quito average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Barcelona won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to LDU Quito, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Barcelona to score about 1.2 and LDU Quito about 0.9. Barcelona should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.