Macará vs Universidad Católica (Quito) prediction

Macará are unbeaten in their last 5, while Universidad Católica (Quito) have not won in their last 5. Macará average 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Universidad Católica (Quito) average 0.9 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Macará won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Universidad Católica (Quito), with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Macará to score about 1.5 and Universidad Católica (Quito) about 0.9. Macará should be hard to beat here.