Heerenveen vs Feyenoord prediction

Heerenveen have won 4 of their last 5, while Feyenoord have taken 5 points from their last 5. Heerenveen average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Feyenoord average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Heerenveen won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Feyenoord, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Heerenveen to score about 1.5 and Feyenoord about 1.6. Heerenveen should avoid losing by two goals or more.