Vitesse vs De Graafschap prediction

Vitesse have taken 5 points from their last 5, while De Graafschap have taken 8 points from their last 5. Vitesse average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while De Graafschap average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vitesse won 4-1 against De Graafschap. Our model expects Vitesse to score about 1.6 and De Graafschap about 1.2. De Graafschap should avoid losing by two goals or more.