AZ vs Twente prediction

AZ have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Twente have won 3 of their last 5. AZ average 2.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Twente average 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, AZ drew 2-2 against Twente. Our model expects AZ to score about 1.6 and Twente about 1.3. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.